Palestrante: Aldo Musacchio (Brandeis University)
Título: The Brazilian Bombshell? The Long-Term Impact of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic the South American Way
Local: Sala G-1 (FEA 1)
Responsável: Profª Dr.ª Renata Narita
Realização: Programa de Pós-Graduação em Economia
We study the short-term, medium-term and long-term repercussions of the 1918 Influenza Pandemic on demographic measures, human capital formation, and productivity markers in the state of Sao Paulo, Brazil's financial center and the most populous city in South America. Using historical and contemporary documents, we construct a unique database on socioeconomic and health outcomes for all districts in Sao Paulo. Using temporal and spatial variation in district-level numbers of influenza-related deaths for the period 1917-1920 and measures of social and health infrastructure, we find that the 1918 Influenza Pandemic had significant effects on infant mortality, sex ratios at birth, fertility and marriage patterns in the short-run. We find robust evidence for persisting impacts on health and educational attainment, productivity measures, and development-related indicators in the long-run.